How Queensland Courts Calculate Loss of Opportunity Damages for Developers
- John Merlo

- Oct 9
- 16 min read
Imagine the scene: your multi-stage residential development is underway. The market is hot, pre-sales are strong, and profits are projected to be significant. Then, disaster strikes. A critical contractor defaults, a key supplier breaches their agreement, or a consultant provides negligent advice, causing the entire project to stall indefinitely. The immediate costs—wasted materials, holding costs, finding replacements—are obvious. But the real damage is the vanished future: the lost profits, the missed market window, the derailed opportunity. This article moves beyond standard breach of contract claims to explore the complex but powerful remedy of 'loss of opportunity' damages. We will dissect how Queensland's courts approach the difficult task of quantifying a future that never happened, providing a strategic guide for developers looking to reclaim the full value of a derailed project.
Key Takeaways
· Quantification is Key: Success hinges on transforming a potential "lost profit" from a speculative idea into a calculated, evidence-based figure the court can accept.
· Evidence is Everything: Your claim is only as strong as your documentation. Comprehensive development plans, financial modelling, and expert reports are non-negotiable.
· Procedural Rules Matter: Failing to plead your damages correctly under Queensland's Uniform Civil Procedure Rules 1999 can be a fatal flaw in your case.
· Early Legal Strategy is Crucial: Engaging a dispute lawyer early not only helps in building a robust claim but also in navigating the crucial decision between QCAT and the higher courts.
When Potential Profit Becomes a Quantifiable Loss
For any developer, the ultimate goal of a project is profit. When a breach of contract occurs, the law aims to compensate for the losses flowing from that breach. Understanding how these damages in construction are categorised is the first step in building a successful claim. The entire process is governed by established legal principles and framed by legislation like the Queensland Civil Liability Act.
The Core Principle: Being Put Back in the Rightful Position
The foundational legal principle of damages is simple in theory: to place the innocent party in the same position they would have been in had the contract been properly performed. This isn't about punishing the party in breach; it's about fair and just compensation. For a developer, this "position" is not just about recouping the money spent on materials or labour. It critically includes the profits that were reasonably expected from the successful completion of the venture. This principle is enshrined in common law and guided by the legislative framework of the Civil Liability Act 2003 (Qld).
What's the Difference Between Direct Loss and Consequential Loss?
Losses from a breach are typically divided into two categories. Understanding the distinction is crucial for framing your claim correctly.
Direct Losses: These are the costs that flow naturally and directly from the breach. Examples include the cost of hiring a new contractor to finish a job, the expense of rectifying defective work, or the value of wasted materials. They are generally straightforward to identify and calculate.
Consequential Losses: These are the indirect losses that arise as a consequence of the breach. They are one step removed from the breach itself but are still a foreseeable result. Consequential loss can include things like lost rental income from a delayed commercial property or, most significantly for developers, the loss of profit from a project that could not proceed. 'Loss of opportunity' is a specific, high-value type of consequential loss that requires a sophisticated argument to prove it was a foreseeable outcome when the contract was made.
Introducing 'Loss of Opportunity' as a Distinct Head of Damage
It's vital to understand that a claim for 'loss of opportunity' is not just a vague claim for "lost profit." It is a distinct legal concept. The law recognises that a party can and should be compensated for the loss of a chance to pursue a valuable commercial opportunity, even if the success of that opportunity was not 100% guaranteed.
The court's role is not to award the full, speculative profit as if it were a certainty. Instead, its task is to place a value on the chance that was lost due to the defendant's breach. This nuanced approach is what separates a well-formed claim from a speculative one. It acknowledges the commercial realities of development—that there are always risks and variables—while still holding the breaching party accountable for destroying a tangible opportunity for profit. This sets the stage for the critical process of quantification, where a potential future is translated into a present-day dollar value.
The Developer's Nightmare: Common Triggers for Lost Opportunity
Every development project involves a complex web of contracts, timelines, and dependencies. A failure at any single point can trigger a catastrophic chain reaction. A dispute in construction is more than an inconvenience; it can be an existential threat to the project's profitability. Understanding the common triggers is the first step in recognising when a claim for lost opportunity might arise, especially in situations involving a builder liquidation or a breakdown in project management building.
Scenarios That Derail a Development Project
Consider this all-too-common scenario: a developer in Brisbane has successfully secured pre-sales for 70% of a planned high-rise apartment complex on the Gold Coast. The market is buoyant, and finance is secured. Halfway through construction, their primary builder's company collapses and enters liquidation. The developer is forced to halt work and scramble to find a replacement. By the time a new, more expensive builder is engaged and work recommences, six months have passed. In that time, the property market has cooled, interest rates have risen, and the original pre-sale agreements, with their sunset clauses, have lapsed. The project is eventually completed, but it's now a fundamentally less profitable venture. The primary damage isn't just the cost of the new builder; it's the lost opportunity to sell into a peak market, a loss that can run into the millions. This is a classic case where a skilled building and construction lawyer is needed to quantify the true extent of the damage.
Why a Simple Breach of Contract Claim Often Falls Short
In the scenario above, a developer might be tempted to simply sue the (now defunct) builder's company for the direct costs: the difference in price for the new builder and any rectification works. This approach, however, leaves a significant amount of money on the table. It completely ignores the entire commercial purpose of the development, which was to generate a specific level of profit within a particular market window.
Without a properly formulated claim for lost opportunity, the developer is effectively forced to bear the full financial burden of the missed market cycle, the increased financing costs, and the reduced end-sales value—all of which were a direct consequence of the original builder's breach. A simple claim for direct costs fails to make the developer whole and does not restore them to the financial position they would have been in had the contract been performed correctly.
The Critical Hurdle: Proving the Breach Caused the Loss
The most challenging aspect of any lost opportunity claim is proving causation. It's not enough to show that a breach occurred and that an opportunity was lost; you must draw a clear, legally convincing line between the two. The developer must prove, on the balance of probabilities, that the defendant's breach caused the loss of the commercial opportunity.
The primary legal test used is the "but for" test, codified in Queensland under section 11(1)(a) of the Civil Liability Act 2003 as requiring the breach to be "a necessary condition of the occurrence of the harm": but for the defendant's breach, would the opportunity have been realised? For example, but for the builder going into liquidation, would the project have been completed on time and sold into the peak market?
This can be complicated by external factors. A defendant might argue that a general economic downturn, and not their breach, was the real reason for the reduced profits. The key is to gather evidence that isolates the breach as the dominant and effective cause of the loss. This involves detailed market analysis, financial modelling, and a deep understanding of legal precedent—a task where the guidance of a specialist dispute lawyer is absolutely essential to navigate the complexities of proving your case, which may have been triggered by events such as wrongfully terminating construction contracts.
How Queensland Courts Turn "What If" into a Dollar Figure
The greatest challenge in a loss of opportunity claim is converting a hypothetical future into a concrete monetary award. This is where the legal process moves from theory to practice, employing a structured methodology for the quantification of damages. It's a meticulous process that relies heavily on expert evidence, strict adherence to court procedure, and the strategic direction of an experienced litigation lawyer. A failure at any stage can see a multi-million-dollar claim reduced to nothing.
From Speculation to Calculation: The Court's Method
A court cannot simply pluck a figure from the air. Instead, it follows a logical, multi-step process to arrive at a fair value for the lost chance. The process is designed to balance the developer's right to compensation against the need to avoid awarding purely speculative profits.
The court's approach generally unfolds as follows:
Assess the Probability of Success: The first step is to evaluate the likelihood that the commercial opportunity would have been successful if the breach had not occurred. This is not an all-or-nothing assessment. The court will consider all contingencies, both positive and negative, that could have affected the outcome. Was there a 40%, 60%, or 80% chance the development would have achieved its projected profit?
Estimate the Potential Value: Next, the court determines the potential value of the opportunity had it succeeded. This involves calculating the best-case-scenario profit based on the evidence presented (e.g., financial models, sales projections).
Apply a Discount: Finally, the court applies a discount to the potential value based on the assessed probability of success. For example, if the court determines there was a 70% chance of the project making a $10 million profit, it will not award the full $10 million. Instead, it will value the lost chance at approximately 7million (7million (10,000,000 x 70%). This final figure represents the court's calculated value of the opportunity that was destroyed by the breach.

The Role of Expert Evidence in Your Claim
A developer standing in court and stating, "I would have made $5 million," is giving an opinion, not evidence. To succeed, the claim must be supported by objective, credible, and independent expert evidence. The court relies heavily on the testimony of qualified professionals to understand the complex financial and market variables at play.
Key experts in a loss of opportunity claim include:
Property Valuers: To provide evidence on the likely end value of the completed development, comparable sales in the area at the relevant time, and the state of the property market.
Forensic Accountants: To analyse the developer's financial models, profit and loss projections, and construction costs. They can build a robust financial picture of what would have likely occurred and what did occur, quantifying the difference.
Industry and Quantity Surveying Experts: To testify on the feasibility of the project, typical construction timelines, market conditions, and whether the developer's plans were realistic and achievable.
The credibility of these experts is paramount. They must be independent and their reports must be thorough, well-reasoned, and able to withstand intense scrutiny under cross-examination. Assembling and managing this team of experts is a core part of the strategy developed by an experienced litigation lawyer.
Pleading Your Case Correctly Under the Rules
A fatal, and surprisingly common, mistake is failing to set out the damages claim correctly in the initial court documents. In Queensland, this is governed by Rule 155 of the Uniform Civil Procedure Rules 1999 (Qld). This rule, often referred to as UCPR 155, is not a mere formality; it is a critical requirement.
The rule mandates that a plaintiff must provide "full particulars" of their damages claim. For a loss of opportunity claim, this means you cannot simply state a final figure. You must plead the precise basis of the calculation: how you arrived at the potential value, the evidence you rely on for that valuation, and the probability/discount you contend should be applied.
The consequences of failing to do this properly are severe. A defendant can successfully apply to have the claim struck out for non-compliance. At best, the court may prevent the developer from leading evidence at the trial on any losses that were not properly particularised in the pleadings. This can cripple a case before it even begins.
A Look at Precedent: How Past Cases Shape Rulings
Australia operates under a common law system, meaning that decisions made in past cases (precedent) heavily influence the outcomes of current ones. Judges in the Supreme Court of Queensland will look to how similar cases involving loss of opportunity were decided previously, particularly regarding the methods of quantification and the types of discounts applied.
An essential part of a lawyer's role is to research and identify these precedents. By presenting cases with similar facts where substantial damages were awarded, they can frame the current case in the most favourable light. This provides the judge with a legally sound and established pathway to follow in awarding the damages being sought, turning a complex claim into one that aligns with established legal reasoning.
Building Your Case - The Developer's Evidentiary Checklist
A claim for lost opportunity is won or lost long before the trial begins. Success depends entirely on the quality and comprehensiveness of the evidence you can present. The court needs to see a meticulously documented, commercially sound project that was derailed by a specific breach. This requires a level of due diligence and record-keeping that transforms a potential claim from a hopeful assertion into a quantifiable reality. Your development plan, financial modelling, and feasibility studies are not just business tools; they are the cornerstones of your legal case.
The Power of a Well-Documented Development Plan
The single most important piece of evidence in your arsenal is a comprehensive development plan. This document is your proof that the project was a serious, well-considered commercial venture, not just a speculative idea on the back of a napkin. A detailed plan demonstrates to the court the reality and tangible nature of the opportunity that was lost.
It should be a complete dossier that includes:
Detailed architectural and engineering drawings.
All relevant council approvals and development applications (DAs).
Project timelines, construction schedules, and milestone charts.
Geotechnical reports, environmental impact statements, and other specialist consultant reports.
A complete record of all contracts and agreements with builders, suppliers, and consultants.
This collection of documents establishes a clear baseline of a viable, approved, and progressing project, making it much easier to prove that "but for" the defendant's breach, it would have continued to a profitable conclusion.
Financial Modelling and Profit Projections as Proof
To quantify your loss, you must present the court with a credible and defensible financial narrative. This process begins with your initial financial documents—the budgets, cash flow forecasts, and profit projections that formed the basis of the project and were used to secure financing. These documents establish the intended financial outcome.
However, these initial projections are just the starting point. A forensic accountant will use this raw data to build a robust financial model that calculates the likely financial outcome of the project had it not been interrupted. Crucially, to be credible in court, this model must be "stress-tested." This means it must account for various contingencies and variables, such as potential interest rate rises, minor delays, or slight dips in the market. A model that presents a range of outcomes and acknowledges potential risks is far more persuasive and defensible under cross-examination than one that simply presents a perfect, best-case scenario.
Capturing Market Data and Feasibility Studies
To prove the value of the opportunity you lost, you must first prove that the market for that opportunity actually existed at the relevant time. Your subjective belief that the project would be profitable is not enough; you need objective, verifiable proof of the market conditions.
This is achieved by gathering crucial third-party evidence, including:
Original Feasibility Studies: The reports you commissioned at the start of the project to assess its viability are critical evidence of its initial commercial soundness.
Third-Party Market Analysis: Reports from reputable property analytics firms or industry bodies that describe the state of the market (e.g., demand, pricing, supply) at the time of the breach.
Comparable Sales Data: Hard data showing the sale prices of similar properties in the same area during the window in which your development would have been sold.
This external evidence moves your claim from the realm of personal opinion to an objective assessment of commercial reality. It allows the court to see that, based on independent data, the market was strong and your profit projections were not just optimistic but were grounded in fact.
Choosing Your Arena: Why QCAT Isn't the Answer
Once you have a potential claim, a critical strategic decision is choosing the right legal venue. In Queensland, many parties in a building dispute automatically think of the Queensland Civil and Administrative Tribunal (QCAT). While QCAT is an effective and cost-efficient forum for many issues, it has strict limitations that often make it unsuitable for large-scale loss of opportunity claims, pushing these matters into the higher courts like the District Court or Supreme Court.
What Are the Jurisdictional Limits of QCAT?
QCAT is a key venue for resolving many domestic and commercial building disputes, particularly those arising under the Queensland Building and Construction Commission Act 1991 and the Building Act 1975. However, its primary limitation is its monetary jurisdiction. For building disputes, QCAT generally cannot hear claims where the amount in dispute exceeds a specific cap (which can change over time).
For many large-scale development projects, the damages flowing from a lost opportunity—including lost profits, holding costs, and market-related losses—will far exceed this cap. This makes QCAT an unsuitable venue from the very outset. For a deeper dive, you can read this guide to resolving matters in QCAT.
The Strategic Decision for High-Value Disputes
Complex, high-value loss of opportunity claims properly belong in the District Court of Queensland (which has jurisdiction for claims between $150,000 and $750,000) or, for the most significant matters exceeding $750,000, the Supreme Court of Queensland. There are several strategic reasons for this. Firstly, the District Court can award damages up to $750,000, while the Supreme Court has unlimited monetary jurisdiction, meaning they can award the full value of your proven loss regardless of amount.
Secondly, the formal procedures of the courts are better suited to complex litigation. The processes for discovery (the compulsory disclosure of documents) and the use of expert evidence are more rigorous, which is essential for testing and proving a complex economic loss claim. Finally, the judiciary in the District and Supreme Courts has deep and extensive experience in assessing and quantifying complex commercial damages, which is invaluable when dealing with the nuances of a lost opportunity claim.
Understanding the Rising Tide of Court Filings
It's important to recognise that the commercial litigation landscape is becoming increasingly busy. Recent statistics show civil lodgements in the Supreme Court of Queensland decreased by 6.8% from 3,348 during 2021-2022 to 3,203 in 2022-2023. Court statistics show continued high activity levels in the District Court during the 2023-2024 year. This trend should not be seen as a deterrent, but rather as a clear indicator of the importance of having a highly competent and efficient legal team and meticulously crafted contracts. Navigating this increasingly complex and congested system requires strategic insight and procedural expertise. This is where Merlo Law's expertise becomes a critical advantage for any developer facing a significant dispute.
Are Your Contracts Protecting Your Future Profits?
The best way to win a dispute is to prevent it from happening in the first place, or at least to ensure your position is protected if it does. This comes down to proactive risk mitigation through carefully drafted contracts. The clauses within your commercial contract can either be your sword and shield or your Achilles' heel when it comes to claiming for lost profits. Seeking expert legal advice during contract formation is not a cost—it's an investment in your project's future.
Contractual Clauses That Can Make or Break a Claim
Proactive contract drafting is the best form of risk mitigation. A defendant's first line of defence against a lost opportunity claim is often a consequential loss exclusion clause. If poorly worded, these clauses can be used to argue that your entire claim for lost profit is contractually barred. It is crucial to have these clauses drafted or reviewed by a legal expert to ensure they do not unintentionally prevent you from recovering the most significant portion of your potential loss.
The Developer's Duty to Mitigate Loss
A crucial legal principle that every developer must understand is the "duty to mitigate." An innocent party cannot simply stand by, watch losses accumulate after a breach, and then expect to recover the full amount. The law requires you to take all reasonable steps to reduce or limit your losses.
For a developer, this could mean:
Promptly seeking an alternative builder or supplier to get the project back on track.
Adjusting the project scope or marketing strategy in response to the delay.
Taking other commercially sensible steps to salvage the venture and minimise the financial damage.
Failure to demonstrate that you took reasonable steps to mitigate your loss can result in a court significantly reducing your final damages award. Documenting every step you take to get the project moving again is critical evidence.
When to Engage a Dispute Resolution Expert
The ideal time to engage a lawyer is not when you decide to go to court; it's as soon as a significant breach occurs that threatens your project's viability. Early intervention is key.
A lawyer can provide immediate value by:
Issuing formal notices of breach and termination correctly, preserving your legal rights.
Advising on the preservation of crucial evidence that will be needed later.
Providing an early, objective assessment of your potential claim and the best strategic path forward, whether that involves negotiation, mediation, or litigation.
This early intervention, guided by an expert like John Merlo, can prevent critical missteps that could weaken a future claim for loss of opportunity damages and sets the foundation for a successful recovery.
Conclusion
A derailed development project is a developer's worst nightmare, but a claim for 'loss of opportunity' provides a powerful legal pathway to recover the true value of what was lost. It is not a simple process. It demands meticulous evidence, expert testimony, and a sophisticated legal strategy. By understanding how Queensland courts quantify these complex damages and by preparing a robust, evidence-based case from day one, developers can transform a potential catastrophe into a calculated and recoverable claim. For further reading, you can view our full list of publications.
FAQs
Is 'loss of opportunity' the same as 'lost profit'?
Not exactly. While related, 'lost profit' often refers to a more certain, calculable figure. 'Loss of opportunity' is a distinct legal concept that compensates for the loss of a chance to make a profit, even if that profit wasn't guaranteed. The court values the lost chance itself, rather than awarding the full, speculative profit.
What is the most important piece of evidence for my claim?
A comprehensive and well-documented development plan is arguably the most critical piece of evidence. It demonstrates that your project was a serious, viable commercial venture with a clear path to profitability, making the loss of that opportunity tangible and real for the court.
Can I file a large loss of opportunity claim in QCAT?
No. QCAT has a monetary cap on the value of building disputes it can hear. Large-scale development projects where the lost opportunity damages run into the hundreds of thousands or millions of dollars will exceed this cap, making the District Court or Supreme Court the appropriate venue.
What does it mean to 'mitigate my loss'?
Mitigating your loss means you have a legal duty to take reasonable steps to reduce the financial damage caused by the other party's breach. For a developer, this could mean quickly finding a new contractor or adjusting the project plan to minimise delays and costs. Failure to do so can lead to a reduction in the damages you can recover.
How long do I have to make a claim for breach of contract in Queensland?
In Queensland, the standard limitation period for bringing a claim for breach of contract is six years from the date the breach occurred. It is crucial to seek legal advice well before this deadline expires, as failing to file a claim in time will permanently bar your right to do so.
This guide is for informational purposes only and does not constitute legal advice. For advice tailored to your specific circumstances, please contact Merlo Law.








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